Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.533203 0.594031 0.659793 0.736308 0.823052 0.918529 1.031832
2025-03-16 0.431383 0.513537 0.609275 0.729652 0.877747 1.054992 1.284683
2025-03-23 0.379801 0.472338 0.585690 0.735876 0.931304 1.179263 1.521313
2025-03-30 0.336180 0.432763 0.555845 0.725926 0.957552 1.265885 1.713958
2025-04-06 0.304387 0.403530 0.534228 0.721518 0.986925 1.355500 1.916605
2025-04-13 0.269955 0.366741 0.497992 0.691920 0.976162 1.385460 2.034134
2025-04-20 0.252884 0.351787 0.489650 0.699544 1.017606 1.492424 2.275976
2025-04-27 0.238337 0.338825 0.482483 0.707355 1.058859 1.601689 2.532486
2025-05-04 0.225050 0.326382 0.474664 0.712829 1.096071 1.707096 2.793687
2025-05-11 0.212426 0.313786 0.465340 0.714658 1.126878 1.804153 3.050943
2025-05-18 0.202818 0.304937 0.460834 0.723324 1.168973 1.923114 3.359819
2025-05-25 0.188434 0.287580 0.441629 0.706198 1.165693 1.963323 3.528827
2025-06-01 0.181372 0.281519 0.440263 0.719111 1.216161 2.104665 3.909872
2025-06-08 0.170939 0.269309 0.428017 0.712449 1.231370 2.183772 4.180415
2025-06-15 0.163892 0.262117 0.423445 0.718521 1.269786 2.309345 4.560554
2025-06-22 0.154638 0.250597 0.410697 0.708835 1.277669 2.376611 4.826807
2025-06-29 0.147085 0.241466 0.401388 0.704545 1.295192 2.464207 5.148294
2025-07-06 0.136170 0.225879 0.379781 0.675734 1.262187 2.445924 5.229816
2025-07-13 0.131746 0.221365 0.377500 0.683156 1.301799 2.581737 5.684689
2025-07-20 0.127642 0.217153 0.375446 0.690760 1.342311 2.723489 6.174150
2025-07-27 0.123480 0.212574 0.372391 0.696088 1.378435 2.859308 6.669109
2025-08-03 0.119103 0.207341 0.367766 0.697868 1.407057 2.981213 7.147043
2025-08-10 0.115860 0.204008 0.366493 0.706303 1.450797 3.142336 7.752820